Greta Thunberg & Table 2.2 (IPCC SR 1.5)


Published BMJ article here

  • Greta Thunberg
  • Greta Key messages
  • Table 2.2
  • Additional Warming Estimates
  • Budget Integrals
  • Budget Integrals per unit time
  • the Feedback Issue - including the bath-tap-plug analogy
  • Acceleration; Early-Onset Runaway-Rates of Climate-Change
  • We were lied to

  • Adair Turner & the UK Climate Act
  • Alliance for UNFCCC-Compliance
  • International Support

    Greta's key quote when speaking at the Montreal meeting is from IPCC SR 1.5 page 108

    In the IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] SR-1.5 report that came out last year . . .
    it says on page 108 in chapter 2 that to have a 67 per cent chance of staying below 1.5 degrees
    of global temperature rise (the best odds given by the IPCC) the world had 420 gigatonnes of CO2
    left to emit back on Jan. 1, 2018.
    (The figures Greta Thunberg quotes are from Table 2.2 on page 108).

    And today, that figure is already down to less than 350 gigatonnes.
    They say, 'Let children be children.' We agree. Let us be children. Do your part.
    Communicate these kinds of numbers instead of leaving that responsibility to us.

    With today's emissions levels, that remaining CO2 budget will be entirely gone within less than eight and a half years.
    And please note that these calculations do not include already locked-in warming hidden by toxic air pollution,
    non-linear tipping points, gross-feedback loops or the aspect of equity climate justice.

    Her key quote to the US Congress

    My name is Greta Thunberg. I have not come to offer any prepared remarks at this hearing.
    I am instead attaching my testimony. It is the IPCC Special Report on Global Warming 1.5°
    Celsius (the SR 1.5), which was released on October 8th 2018.

    I am submitting this report as my testimony because I don’t want you to listen to me.
    I want you to listen to the scientists & I want you to unite behind the science & then I want you to take real action.

    The Carbon-Budget Greta Thunberg emphasized