'C&C' - The first 20 years (1989 to 2009)

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GCI's effort to address the reality of climate change began in earnest in 1990. The defining purpose has been since then, to turn a global-problem into a global-solution. We established the non-ideological Contraction & Convergence (C&C) methodology to this end, gradually attracting much support for this.

The effort embraces this record: -

  1. Already moved by the Penang Manifesto of 1989 and realising the enormity of the climate crisis, "Save the Forest Save the Planet" (what would become GCI a year later) devised a founding statement based on the precautionary principle of Equity & Survival.

  2. At the 2nd World Climate Conference in November 1990, the UN began to create the Framework Convention on Climate Change [UNFCCC]. The Global Commons Institute [GCI] would be founded in 1991. However, with particular respect to Messrs Bach, Koomey & Krause, we issued this statement to the Conference.

  3. In June 1992 the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was agreed at the Earth Summit in Rio. The UNFCCC objective is stabilizing the rising greenhouse gas [GHG] concentration in the global atmosphere. Its principles of equity & precaution were established in international law.

  4. Between 1992 & 1995 & at the request of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC], GCI contributed analysis highlighting the worsening asymmetry, or Expansion & Divergence (E&D) to IPCC 2nd Assessment Report (SAR). It was a forensic but blunt critique of what we called,
    "The Economics of Genocide" & it was upheld by the IPCC in SAR.

  5. GCI also created the methodology of the 'Contraction and Convergence' (C&C) calculating model. Guided by early output from the 'Berne Climate Model', the carbon-budget-integral methodology of C&C takes the Global Per Capita Average of emissions arising, as the organising standard for joint/several global emissions accounting for UNFCCC-Compliance.

  6. C&C for 350 ppmv was introduced by GCI at COP-2 of the UNFCCC in June 1996 where GCI called for a declaration of 'climate emergency'. We were encouraged to exhibit a less demanding example of C&C. This we did showing history and this image for 450 ppmv with convergence by 2030 became iconic which, along with its variations & derivatives have been used extensively around the world since that time.

  7. In March 1997, at the COP inter-sessional the Government of the USA asked GCI for support based on GCI's interpretation of the Byrd Hagel Resolution. As a result of giving this support, the US & Chinese Governments asked GCI to visit and try to recruit support for C&C. This was done during June & July 1997.

  8. In August 1997 the Africa Group of Nations produce a position paper advocating Contraction and Convergence

  9. China State Counsellor Dr Song Jian, pre-COP 3 1997, “When we ask the opinions of people from all circles, many people, in particular the scientists, think the emissions control standard should be formulated on a per capita basis. According to the UN Charter, everybody is born equal & has inalienable rights to enjoy modern technological civilization.”

  10. GLOBE International adopted C&C in May 1977 and in June GLOBE USA supported GCI's interpretation of the Byrd Hagel Resolution. The Byrd Hagel Resolution was passed unanimously by the US Senate (95-0) in July 1997.

  11. In August 1997, at the next COP inter-sessional, the South African Government asked GCI to address the Africa Group. We did and at that session, the Africa Group produced a joint statement in support of C&C.

  12. In November 1997 Meyer/GCI/C&C received the Andrew Lees Memorial Award, the British Environment Media Award "Aubrey Meyer, almost single-handedly and with minimal resources, has made an extraordinary impact on the negotiations on the Climate Change Treaty, one of the most important of our time."

  13. The campaign-director of Greenpeace said; "Scientists defined the issue; Governments ran off with the issue; There was no campaign: NGOs adopted secondary roles; The issue had no public; There was no common proposition. Only extraordinary individuals such as Aubrey Meyer, father of 'C&C', managed to penetrate this remote citadel."

  14. In December 1997, a C&C-based way-ahead was debated in the final session of COP-3, with strong interest from India, China the Africa Group the USA. The USA stated, "C&C contains elements for the next agreement that we may ultimately all seek to engage in."

  15. GCI asked HMG to support that emerging consensus. A UK delegate (& member of the 'Green Globe Taskforce') said, "we know its right, but we can't and we won't." This is noteworthy, only because ten years later, the UK would make C&C the basis of the UK Climate Act, in what they claimed (& still claim) as 'global leadership'.

  16. In May 1998 GLOBE International took up C&C advocacy saying in this document, "GLOBE pays tribute to the GCI team on whose brilliant analysis our campaign is based." In November 1998 at COP 4 in Buenos Aires in Argentina, the Buenos Aires Herald published this pro C&C article

  17. Influenced by Sir John Houghton, in 2000, the UK's Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution (RCEP) adopts C&C in its Climate Energy Report. It was to become a widely quoted & path-steering reference, as this report made C&C the key policy-recommendation to the UK Government & this defined the debate leading to the UK Climate Act in 2008.

  18. In July 2000, the RCEP Chairman Sir Tom Blundell wrote a letter saying how much the RCEP valued GCI's pioneering work over the years making the case for 'Contraction & Convergence', adding this had enabled them to develop their own arguments more effectively.

  19. In 2000 Springer Verlag published the first peer-reviewed commentary on C&C. This included material GCI distributed at COP-2 stressing the dangers of positive feedback loops. In 2002 PIU Energy Review (UK Cabinet Office) acknowledging the RCEP, refers to C&C as part of "a leading approach" (page 47) following a memo to PIU from GCI.

  20. In September 2002 the Minister of the Environment Michael Meacher wrote to GCI acknowledging, "the need to protect the integrity of the C&C argument." In 2003 DEFRA published a memo, "building on the work of the RCEP which used a Contraction and Convergence methodology developed by GCI."

  21. An Archive of some of the items from these early years (1989-2004) is here A selection of significant international support for C&C is here and here

  22. For "outstanding efforts to enhance the adoption of C&C" in 2004, the City of London makes a "Lifetime's Achievement Award" to Aubrey Meyer.

  23. In September 2005 Dr David Griggs of the UKMO's Hadley Centre, wrote to GCI stating their requirement of a trademark for C&C if they were to comply with request to cite GCI as authors of C&C and to use GCI's definition statement C&C. Trademark certification was obtained and a C&C definition statement published by ICE.

  24. In December 2005 RIBA adopts C&C (GCI) as core strategy, asks Aubrey Meyer to make the key-note presentation to their AGM at the Bienale in Venice in August 2006 & in 2007 makes him a RIBA Fellow, "for his challenging and inspirational promotion of environmental issues, in particular his development of the concept of Contraction and Convergence.”

  25. In 2006 Colin Challen MP introduced the UK Climate Act (Contraction & Convergence) as a Private Members Bill in the UK Parliament and this was a significant step towards what became law in 2008.

  26. In 2006 GCI published an 'occasional paper' in support of Colin Challen's Bill

  27. In 2006 Nicholas Stern published the Economics of Climate Change - Intertemporal Equity

    “The notions of the right to climate protection or climate security of future generations and of shared responsibilities in a common world can be combined to assert that, collectively, we have the right only to emit some very small amount of GHGs, equal for all, and that no-one has the right to emit beyond that level without incurring the duty to compensate. We are therefore obliged to pay for the right to emit above that common level. This can be seen as an argument in favour of the ‘contraction and convergence’ proposition, whereby ‘large emitters’ should contract emissions and all individuals in the world should either converge to a common (low) level or pay for the excess (and those below that level could sell rights)." Source Contraction and Convergence (C&C) is the science-based global climate policy framework proposed to the UN since 1990 by GCI

  28. An archive of developments till 2009 is here. Work in Whitehall & Parliament & its Committees and around the world (2000-2007). This included numerous reports by Parliamentary Select Committees repeatedly advocating C&C to the UK government.

  29. CCC Chairman Adair Turner wrote to the Minister Ed Milliband saying, "it is difficult to imagine a global deal without going to average emissions per capita in 2050."

  30. Leading to the UK Climate Change Act becoming law in 2008 based on this optimistic & unlikely contraction:concentrations prognosis C&C had developed huge support for its simple elegant logic (Houghton) & an all-party committee of UK MPs made C&C the basis of their nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize in 2008.

  31. In June 2009 and prior to COP-15 in December, the Chinese Government published strongly pro-C&C material. Deliberately ignoring this while proselytizing for the UKCA, the UK Energy Minister came back ludicrously blaming the Chinese for the failure of the talks.

  32. In 2009, Adair Turner, then Chairman of UK Climate Change Committee, said in HoC that C&C is the basis of the UK Climate Act (UKCA): -"In the UK Climate Act we have endorsed the C&C principle. Its pretty strong support for what Aubrey Meyer has said. we didn't call it that - it became emotive for reasons I don't really understand."

    (Looking at Assumptions here might help understanding statements of this nature) . . .

As Chairman of the Climate Change Committee Adair Turner had written to the Minister (Ed Milliband) saying: -

"We believe that it is difficult to imagine a global deal which allows the developed countries
to have emissions per capita in 2050 which are significantly above a sustainable global average."

He subsequently confirmed to Colin Challen MP at the Energy and Climate Change committee that: -

" . . . if for reasons of urgency the overall contraction rate had to be accelerated,
the convergence rate would have to be accelerated relative to that . . .

The present Chairman of the Climate Change Committee John Gummer, advocated C&C as,
"the intellectually and morally coherent principle of Contraction & Convergence".

"He is a good gentleman. He's been on this issue for years and he's not giving up.
If we had all been as strong as Aubrey we would have achieved very high levels."

The Kenyan UNFCCC negotiator Joshua Wairoto at Bad Godesburg Germany on C&C