Temperature rise as concealed (rather than revealed) in the BBC Film 'Climate Facts'. The reality is 'Acceleration'.
Concealing this means either the BBC is still in denial or is now actually acting as an agent provocateur.


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    1. It has been obvious since the creation of United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 1992 that the problem of climate change is real and threatening.
      Since 1992 and reflecting UNFCCC principles of precaution & equity, GCI proposed an internationally integrated response to this problem known as 'Contraction and Convergence' (C&C).

    2. With the introduction of C&C at COP-2 in 1996, GCI also declared a climate emergency at COP-2. We all had considerable success addressing the primary problem with the C&C principle
      and with the exception of support from the UK the C&C principle was widely agreed at COP-3 in 1997 and agreement continued to generate thereafter.

    3. However, various experts and others started picking scientific, political numbers & particularly 'un-economic' numbers out of a hat, thus reducing the chances of UNFCCC-Compliance.
      Now in 2019, whether there is a will to face it or not, the increasing acceleration-reality of the climate-emergency is what we face, with the increasing disintegration of politics to match.

    4. This year, after 30 years of avoidance & equivocation about these matters, the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) has finally made a film called 'Climate-Facts'. It reveals that there
      is a problem, but why only now do they do this? Moreover, why within this do they more conceal than reveal the change-rate-danger of acceleration we are now in?

    5. The film shows temperature rise saying, "its all happening much faster than many of us thought possible". This is acceleration. In other words on average temperature rise is
      not merely evident in the data shown, it is getting faster and faster per unit time and this acceleration is now (in 2019) undeniably evident in the data used in the movie.

    6. While this admission alone corroborates the 'losing-control' arguments that follow, the BBC's charts conceal rather than reveal, how this curvature is already
      shaping the future.

    7. The quote from Michael Mann points at the heart of the matter; the acceleration-reality. It was the major point of contention in the UK Parliament's EAC Enquiries (2009-2013).
      The All Party Group on Climate change in the UK Parliament (2006) started this enquiry in 2009. GCI evidence to EAC warned about this acceleration becoming 'out-of-control' curvature.

    8. Now on Capitol Hill TV (03 07 2019) Michael Mann (the scientist at Pennsylvania State University quoted above), now also calls for 'world-war type mobilization' to combat climate change
      “We do need a world-war type mobilization and that means putting in place incentives to move our economy as quickly as we can away from fossil fuels to renewable energy.”

    9. The UN itself is now openly stating that, "climate-impact-events are causing death, displacement and suffering are occurring much faster than predicted. This is not about the future,
      this is about today."
      Mami Mitzutori UN Secretary General's special representative on disaster risk reduction.

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    10. This further corroborates criticisms of the handling of this issue by the UKMO in 2013 as incompetent & deliberately opaque. Feedbacks were omitted & the UKMO lied under oath to parliament
      to conceal that omission
      , continuing to model 'keeping control' curvature, whilst ecologically & politically the reality is that we have all been losing it all along the way.

    11. Tthe UKMO claimed to dominate preparations for IPCC AR5 with 2.0°C as the minimum temperature control target in IPCC AR5. Their evidence to Parliament in 2013 included the remark,
      “we have probably contributed more model simulations than virtually any other group in the world, so we take the IPCC process very seriously”
      (Julia Slingo UKMO Chief Scientific Officer).

    12. However, the consequences of this approach on the 5th IPCC Assessment (AR5) of 2015 was catastrophic. No effort was made to prepare the global community for the much greater sense
      of urgency introduced in the Paris Agreement, which for the first time included a temperature control target of 1.5° C, with small island states saying 1.5° C to stay alive - 1.5° to stay alive

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    13. Despite all this the BBC film 'Climate-Facts' continues the deliberately opaque and self-exculpatory approach started by the UKMO in its preparations for IPCC AR5.

      • When we start from 1750 (not 1850 as shown in the BBC film) the average temperature of the planet is in 2019 already at 1.5°C above 'pre-industrial'.
        Even without rebasing from 1850 to 1750, the UKMO said in January this year, we would reach 1.5° C by 2023 (Guardian February 6th 2019).

      • On average since 1750, the rate of increase has been acceleration throughout (shown by the 'concave' or out-of-control shape-of-the-curve) and continuing the present average rate
        of rise in the absence of mitigation policy (in this chart), shows we will be at 2.0°C above pre-industrial by 2038. To avoid this emissions C&C measures are required immediately.


      • Since 1750 when the industrial revolution began, UK accumulated per capita missions are greater than even the USA and many many times greater than India and China.
        Though half these emissions are still in the atmosphere, leading members of the UK Climate Change Committee state that, "it is not helpful to talk about the past".

      • However, the apex point here is that *temperature acceleration* has increasing momentum, & this is increasingly amplified by the growing influence of positive feedback-effects/emissions.
        It sums as increased loss-of-control curvature. All this was omitted in the UKMO's 'climate-modelling' in the RCPs in 2013 & they removed their web-page admitting this (GCI kept a copy).


      • Why and for whom is the BBC now concealing this? Is it possible BBC are now acting as agent provocateur as part of a larger strategy to criminalize any public protest against climate change?
        If criminal charges are to laid against protestors against the climate-emergency accelerating out of control, the greater charge is why did the UKMO lie and deny acceleration in the EAC enquiry?



The PAST

The FUTURE

Here are the BP & International Energy Agency basic Fossil Fuel demand projections to 2040,
compared with global carbon-emission-control to net-zero by 2040, 2035, 2030, 2025.

If we are to have chance of avoiding the worst of the unfolding climate catastrophe, these demand projections need
to be subordinated at least to the rates of UNFCCC-compliance requirements, as now defined for 1.5-2.0°C.

This will not happen as the result of 'guesswork' or picking more numbers out of a hat.
It requires an international contraction & convergence 'framework'.

Click the next image to animate it.